Betting on Who’ll Be Inducted Into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame in 2021

By | February 17, 2021

The Rock and Roll Hall of Fame stands as one of the most prestigious institutions in all of music. Each year, nominees are announced and then they’re voted on by industry experts and the fans. But you can also cast another vote by making prop bets on who will or won’t get into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame when the inductions are announced in the spring.

Each year, the announcements of both the nominees and, later on, the inductees for the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame cause a lot of controversy and discussion among music fans. It is certainly an imperfect process, one that has been wrought with accusations over the years that some artists have been blackballed while others have been given preferred status by a select few. And then there is confusion over what the criteria is that’s being used and whether or not all genres of music should be included.

In any case, the official procedure for voting, whether it’s actually followed or not, states that the vote comes from nearly 1,000 industry experts. On top of that, fans can now vote online for their favorites, although the impact of that vote is debatable, as it essentially counts for just a single ballot. All of the results are tabulated to come up with the inductees.

Place Your Bets

While you might have argued about the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame a time or two in the past, you might not realize that you can actually wager on the action. You can place a simple yes or no bet on whether or not a nominee will be inducted. If you get it right, you’ll earn payback based on the odds offered by the gambling website of your choice. The goal is to find some values with these bets.

Can you pick out those artists who seem like sure things that might get snubbed, or can you come up with the surprise candidates who make the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame even when few thought they would?

If you can do that, you can actually profit off this somewhat mysterious process with the prop wagers you make.

In the following article, we’ll try to help you out by giving you our thoughts on the chances for each of the 2021 Rock and Roll Hall of Fame nominees getting in this year. We’ll walk you through the pros and the cons for all 16 nominees. And we’ll tell you how we would bet in each case.

The 2021 Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Nominees

Jay-Z (First Nomination)

  • Yes: -1200
  • No: +800

Pros:

Very simply, many people consider Jay-Z to be on the Mount Rushmore of rap MC’s. Starting with his debut in 1996 with the immediate classic Reasonable Doubt, he innovated with the street-reality of his lyrics, his offbeat, catchy flow, and his willingness to search for unique beats. His success as a mogul and his status as part of music’s ultimate power couple is just icing on the cake.

Cons:

You have to look long and hard to find any chinks in the armor of his candidacy. There have been times when first-time seemingly sure-thing nominees have been shunned before coming back the next year to get in (Radiohead being the most recent and glaring example.) But there were mitigating circumstances there (Radiohead’s utter disinterest in getting in), which don’t seem likely to apply in this case.

The Bet:

Odds of 1 to 12 are pretty weak if you’re looking for a profit. But the risk of him being shunned seem pretty minimal. Yes is the pick here, and you can take the small profit and use it to finance some of your other wagers.

Will Jay-Z Be Inducted? –Yes (-1200)

Foo Fighters (First Nomination)

  • Yes: -130
  • No: +100

Pros:

First of all, there is no more well-liked individual in the music industry than Dave Grohl, which goes  a long way in what is essentially a popularity contest. The Foos are one of the sturdiest rock bands around, and they probably have more appeal to certain voting bloc members who skew towards the traditional. On top of that, there is the connection to Nirvana, as well as Grohl’s willingness to fly the rock banner at a time when it’s not exactly a golden era for the genre.

Cons:

There is a pretty sizable group of media folks who simply don’t feel that the Foo Fighters have ever ascended beyond workmanlike status when it comes to their music. This takedown by Pitchfork of their most recent album is typical of this view. There just aren’t a lot of consensus classic Foo albums, and really only a handful of songs that stand out from their ever-burgeoning catalog.

The Bet:

This is one of the toughest of all the calls on the board. There is no doubt that the Grohl and company are going to get in, but do they have the kind of status to be first-time inductees? The feeling is that they probably sneak in, but we’d only feel comfortable betting yes with your money.

Will the Foo Fighters Be Inducted? –Yes (-130)

Mary J. Blige (First Nomination)

  • Yes: -120
  • No: -120

Pros:

Blige had about a two-decade run as the queen of soul and rhythm and blues, at a time when those genres were booming. Her emotional vocalizing gave her a signature style that set her apart from the pack. And her songwriting ability is an underrated part of her legacy.

Cons:

Blige, like Foo Fighters, has the first-time nominee thing working against her. As a relatively young artist (compared to some of the other nominees, even some of the first-timers), you could argue that she will have many more chances to get in come future years while she can still enjoy it. Her work has also tailed off in the last decade, becoming more sporadic and less consistent.

The Bet:

The oddsmakers clearly think this is a toss-up, one that doesn’t provide you with a lot of value either way. Ideally, you’d stay away from this one and move on to other value picks. That said, if you must bet this one, you should probably go with the “no” side.

Will the Mary J. Blige Be Inducted? –No (-120)

Iron Maiden (First Nomination)

  • Yes: -140
  • No: +110

Pros:

The venerable British rockers will be carrying the banner of an entire genre. At some point, the floodgates will open to pure metal bands that haven’t ever really courted the mainstream in any way. You can bet Iron Maiden will likely do well in the fan voting, and while that doesn’t always carry much weight on its own, it can help build a groundswell among the expert voters.

Cons:

Short of Black Sabbath and Iron Maiden, heavy metal, in its purest form, is largely underrepresented at the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame. You could probably find arguments that other bands were more influential in the genre, if not quite as long-running. And there are a lot of voters who probably wouldn’t put on one of their records just because they don’t like the genre.

The Bet:

The favorite odds seem a little bit too top-heavy here. It feels like they are more a pick-em to get in. As a result, you’re better off going with the “no” side and the better payback.

Will Iron Maiden Be Inducted? –No (+110)

The Go-Go’s (First Nomination)

  • Yes: -200
  • No: +160

Pros:

They were undoubtedly pioneers, becoming the first all-girl group to enjoy the kind of mainstream success that they experienced in the 80s. Their effervescent music has held up well, which can’t be said for some of their contemporaries. And momentum is in their favor, as last year they were the subject of a much-loved documentary about their careers.

Cons:

It’s not the best sign that this is their first time being nominated, considering that they were first eligible about 15 years ago. And their catalog is actually quite sparse. It’s hard to believe, but they’ve only released four full-length albums in the forty years or so since they burst onto the scene with Beauty And The Beat.

The Bet:

The timing just couldn’t be better for them. Anyone who watched that documentary will undoubtedly have a soft spot for them that could put them over the top. They’re going right to the top of the list and should be a definite “yes.”

Will The Go-Go’s Be Inducted? –Yes (-200)

Rage Against The Machine (First Nomination)

  • Yes: +110
  • No: -140

Pros:

Their incendiary music hit hard in the 90s, with a kind of awareness of the world around them that some of the navel-gazing grunge bands of the era didn’t have. The best Rage songs were pummeling and thought-provoking all at once. And the band’s flame-throwing guitarist Tom Morello has had some involvement with the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame in recent years, which certainly can’t hurt.

Cons:

Like the Go-Go’s, there isn’t too much there, with only three albums of original material to their credit. They split somewhat acrimoniously and never quite got it back together save from some live work. And you could argue that they had one real musical trick up their sleeves, although it was a trick that they pulled off real well.

The Bet:

Even with the Morello connection, it’s a hard sell to say that they deserve to get in right off the bat. It fees like the “no” vote is a smart one here. The odds that you’re getting aren’t too lucrative, but they’re not too bad for what seems like a safe choice.

Will Rage Against The Machine Be Inducted? –No (-140)

Kate Bush (Second Nomination)

  • Yes: +500
  • No: -1000

Pros:

There are very few artists that are one-of-a-kind, but Bush comes real close. Her ethereal vocals and shapeshifting songs won her a legion of admirers that still hangs on every morsel of information that emerges about her (she tends to stay out of the spotlight.) For a stretch from her debut at age 19 in 1978 throughout the 80s, she pushed the boundaries of pop music far beyond the norm.

Cons:

Bush is an artist who is far more known in the United Kingdom than here, where she might be most known for a duet with Peter Gabriel (“Don’t Give Up”). Although her fandom is extremely loyal, it’s relatively small, at least compared to some of the artists here. And she hasn’t exactly kept herself in the mix, with precious few releases since the turn of the millennium.

The Bet:

This is one of those cases where the value really changes up how you should look at this bet. Bush is more likely to get snubbed than get the induction into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame this year. But with 5 to 1 odds on “yes,” that’s the better value bet, considering it feels like her chances to get in are more like one in three than one in five.

Will Kate Bush Be Inducted? –Yes (+500)

Devo (Second Nomination)

  • Yes: +250
  • No: -400

Pros:

People get so caught up in the visuals and the image that they tend to overlook the music. Devo broke down rock and roll to its component parts on their first two albums to mesmerizing effect, than did the same to R&B on their masterpiece, 1980’s Freedom Of Choice. Again, if you’re judging by originality, it’s hard to top what Devo brought to the table.

Cons:

Part of Devo’s shtick was that they were subtly mocking the music industry and all its trappings with everything they did. The people that were targeted by that mockery might not be too eager to reward them for it. You could argue also that their catalog was spotty after the first three albums, although that opening trio looms pretty large.

The Bet:

It will be interesting to see if they make it over the hump. You have to consider that this is a pretty deep group of nominees, which works against some of the artists on the fence. The guess here is that they have to wait at least another year and that “no” is the answer.

Will Devo Be Inducted? –No (-400)

Chaka Khan (Third Nomination)

  • Yes: +200
  • No: -300

Pros:

There are few women in R&B history with the kind of track record as Khan, as she was a fixture on those charts throughout the 80s and 90s. She incorporated a rapper on her biggest hit, “I Feel For You,” making he a trailblazer of sorts. And she’s still active, having released an album just a few years back that showed her as potent as ever.

Cons:

We’d feel better about Khan’s chances if her work with Rufus was also being considered. That’s not to say that some voters won’t mark that work in her favor, because its not like a jury that isn’t allowed to consider excess material. But this is a tough group of nominees to crack, especially in terms of top women artists.

The Bet:

This is never a case of deserve, because all of these artists deserve to be recognized. It simply comes down to a numbers game. And that game is working against Chaka Khan this year, which is why we’re guessing “no.”

Will Chaka Khan Be Inducted? –No (-300)

LL Cool J (Sixth Nomination)

  • Yes: +160
  • No: -200

Pros:

There is no artist who enjoyed bigger crossover success for a sustained period of time. What’s impressive is that none of those hits were lightweight or “sell-out” material, which wasn’t an easy feat to pull off. On top of that, the LL was a true pioneer, as he was right in the mix with the first wave of well-known rap stars, even though he was only a teenager at the time.

Cons:

LL is still trying to get over the hump after five snubs. Maybe the voters are looking at his acting career or his somewhat awkward stints hosting the Grammys. Or maybe they’re still holding that Brad Paisley duet against him.

The Bet:

The feeling is that the tide might be turning toward LL this year. You could argue that his overall record is as good or better than those hip-hop artists who have already made it. He should break out this year and do so at a nice, slight-underdog price.

Will LL Cool J Be Inducted? –Yes (+160)

Todd Rundgren (Third Nomination)

  • Yes: +250
  • No: -400

Pros:

Rundgren was a true innovator, one of the first DIY rock stars whose production, songwriting and performing all came together. He has also stayed active, seemingly coming out with some kind of new project every year. On top of that, he is one of the few artists on this list that fits neatly into the classic rock niche, which could certainly help with voters who favor that type of music.

Cons:

If the political aspect of the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame means anything (and, let’s face it, it does), Rundgren will never get in. He has made no secret of the fact that he feels that the whole operation is a sham. That is not going to make him any points with the voters who truly believe in the HOF as an institution.

The Bet:

Even if he were the type to play the game, Rundgren might still be a tough sell. You could make the case that he’d have a better chance as a behind-the-scenes type than as an artist. In any case, the “no” wager is one that can’t miss here.

Will Todd Rundgren Be Inducted? –No (-400)

Dionne Warwick (First Nomination)

  • Yes: +300
  • No: -500

Pros:

What were people waiting for that Warwick is only now getting her first nomination? She possesses one of the truly unique voices in popular music, and it’s been on display ever since she was churning out Burt Bacharach/Hal David numbers in the pre-Beatles era. But she wasn’t a flash in the pan, as she also proved a resilient singles artist into the 70s and 80s.

Cons:

The fact that she hasn’t been nominated till now suggests some kind of disrespect that doesn’t make a lot of sense, but must be there. She isn’t a songwriter, which could affect some votes. And her music at times veered close to easy listening territory, something that might be a disqualifier for some.

The Bet:

Warwick, like the Go-Go’s might be coming into contention at just the right time. Her Twitter account has been a delight, and maybe brought her back to people’s attention. In any case, a “yes” pick here is one of the best value plays on the board.

Will Dionne Warwick Be Inducted? –Yes (+300)

New York Dolls (Second Nomination)

  • Yes: -120
  • No: -120

Pros:

The Dolls are an interesting case, as their second nomination arrives 20 years after their previous one. There could certainly be sentiment on their side after the death in January of Sylvain Sylvain, leaving David Johansen as the lone remaining member. Their influence could be felt on glam, punk, and New Wave, which is quite a long shadow to cast.

Cons:

You could say that the influence outweighs the output. The famously combustible group lasted only about five years in their original incarnation before busting up. And they never really captured their soulful, shambolic energy over the course of a complete LP.

The Bet:

They’ll be helped by the hipster cred they’ve been able to sustain for about 40 years now. But it won’t be enough to help them in this competitive year of inductees. Look for them to miss out by a hair, which means you should bet on the “no.”

Will the New York Dolls Be Inducted? –No (-120)

Carole King (Second Nomination)

  • Yes: -400
  • No: +250

Pros:

This is one of those where you are almost shocked that he isn’t already in the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame. Her album Tapestry, 50 years old this year, still stands as perhaps the most successful singer-songwriter album of all time. That album alone gives her a better record than some people who are already in the HOF.

Cons:

Technically, her for-hire songwriting brilliance shouldn’t be a factor in the vote, although you would have to think that some voters would count it anyway. Obviously, there was a letdown after Tapestry. But how could you hold that against her, considering how mammoth that album was?

The Bet:

You’re not getting much value with Kind, at 1 to 4. And it is strange that the nomination hasn’t come before now. But she seems like a shoo-in and a safe yes play.

Will Carole King Be Inducted? –Yes (-400)

Tina Turner (First Nomination)

  • Yes: -700
  • No: +450

Pros:

Turner managed to come back from the abusive relationship she had with ex-husband Ike to forge her own musical path in a major way. Her Private Dancer album was one of the biggest in the 80s. And she kept on churning out hits after that, including iconic tracks like “Simply The Best” that have shown impressive staying power.

Cons:

It took this long for Turner to be nominated in part because she already got in as part of Ike & Tina in 1991. But you really have to go hunting if you’re looking for cons here. Turner is a lock and then some.

The Bet:

As is the case with Jay-Z, there isn’t any value to be had here. But you’ve got a real story on your hands if she somehow misses. Most likely, you can cash in the small profit here by choosing “yes,” so don’t overthink it.

Will Tina Turner Be Inducted? –Yes (-700)

Conclusion

We hope that you enjoyed this look at the betting for the 2021 Rock and Roll Hall of Fame. It should be interesting to see who makes it when the official announcements come this spring. Keep checking back to see if the odds at top entertainment betting sites change in your favor.

The post Betting on Who’ll Be Inducted Into the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame in 2021 appeared first on GamblingSites.ORG.

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