Well, we have come to the last week of the NFL regular season. Where the hell did the time go?
As the playoffs loom, there are juicy matchups all up and down the slate in Week 18 and so much value for our ATTD boys.
As always, Here is the breakdown, my 4 favorites and a parlay to wrap up the regular season!
Who doesn’t love touchdowns?
But what is better than seeing all those touchdowns, is to bet on the guy who scores it!
It is the most exciting play in football and it has become one of the most fun bets to make every NFL Thursday, Saturday, Sunday, or Monday.
I love this market because it is a fun bet but also can be incredibly profitable if you pick your spots wisely.
For example, most guys that are very likely to score are very juiced, between -145 all the way up to -190.
But most other guys are + money. And some very high plus money.
It isn’t a guaranteed stat line like some other props but as we go along in the season, I am going to do my best to find guys who have a great chance to score and it will almost always be plus money!
I will be doing this every week so stick around and let’s have some fun every week!
This is how it is going to work:
I will start the week with my favorite Thursday Night Football TD scorer.
Then, on Friday, I will update this piece and break down my 4 favorite spots for guys to break the plane and at the end, parlay them all together for a little extra spice.
I will bet them all straight for 1 unit and then put 0.25 on the parlay.
You decide how you want to play it but that is how I am going to do it.
Glad you’re here, let’s get to ATTD business.
ALL ODDS AND PARLAYS AVAILABLE ON FANDUEL or CAESARS
1. Derrick Henry ATTD (-115)
This is my favorite touchdown bet of the entire weekend.
The Titans and Jaguars face off in Jacksonville for all the marbles; the AFC South crown and a trip to trip to the playoffs.
Derrick Henry not only will do everything he can to ensure the Titans have the best chance to win, he loves playing the Jags.
Here is one of his most famous TD’s against the Jags for yours viewing pleasure.
In his last 7 games against the Jags, he has 13 touchdowns.
Yea, you read that right.
The King also has TD’s in 3 straight meetings against their division foe and 6 TD’s in his last 3 games in Jacksonville.
I am not concerned about the offensive dropoff with Joshua Dobbs starting at QB. The Titans will still move the ball and Henry will have his hand in that.
Henry will have plenty of opportunities to dominate in this one, and I expect him to break the plane maybe more than once.
2. Najee Harris ATTD (-105)
I am trying to pick games where teams have it all to play for and the Steelers definitely fall into that category and Harris has a great matchup with the Browns.
Here is the playoff scenario for the Steelers
As you can see, the Steelers need to win first and foremost. And to do that, they will be riding Harris.
Harris scored a TD against their division rivals earlier this season and he has been rolling as of late.
Najee has 3 TD’s in his last 4 games and is really coming on strong to end the season.
I love the value for Harris to get into the endzone yet again in the biggest game of the season for the Steelers.
3. Jamaal Williams ATTD (-130)
For the Lions, it is simple.
Either one of these scenarios obviously makes the game this week against the Packers a must win. Either for a playoff appearance themselves or to ruin Green Bays.
That leads me to Williams, the leading touchdown scorer in the NFL. The Lions RB has 15 scores on the season and I am sure will want to punch one more in against his former team.
Earlier this season, Williams didn’t break the plane against the Packers and I have no doubt will want to back at Lambeau.
This game will be fun regardless of whether it’s a play in for the Lions or not.
Williams will have plenty of chances to score and I love the -130 value on the best TD getter in the league.
4. Jerick McKinnon ATTD (+140) Caesars
Let’s round this off with McKinnon and a big price discrepancy here.
McKinnon to score is +140 on Caesars and +125 on FanDuel yet -145 on Draftkings.
I love the value we are getting here for McKinnon who has turned into one of Patrick Mahomes favorite red zone targets.
McKinnon has scored a TD in 5 straight games and has 8 TDs in those 5. He is a threat on the ground but is lethal in the passing game.
HC Andy Reid and OC Eric Bieniemy have figured out how to get McKinnon ins great matchups in the red zone and the Chiefs are cashing in.
As for the Chiefs’ playoff scenario, they want to win and here’s a good chart to show why.
If the Chiefs win, they are the Number 1 seed and grab a first round bye in the playoffs.
I expect the Chiefs to come out ready to roll and bury the Raiders.
Week 18 ATTD Parlay
What is an ATTD bet and why to take it?
This market has gained a lot of popularity over the past few seasons.
And why not, who doesn’t love betting on Touchdowns?
It’s a popular bet because it doesn’t require any other stats, except scoring a Touchdown.
I know it sounds easy and honestly, it is.
It’s a fun market to bet on and the reason why it is fun is because of the value.
The books set the touchdown lines based on matchups and recent form. For every game, most players will be around -110 or plus money.
80% of players in the game will be +100 or higher which is great value.
Every skill position player on every play has a chance to score a touchdown and there are lots of players that are +500 or higher.
You won’t find value like that for a single bet that always has a chance to hit.
I love betting this market, for the reasons listed above and most of all, I love Touchdowns! Follow along all season with me to find the value for guys to break the plane!
Enjoy Week 18 and thanks for riding all season long!
Follow me on Twitter @SweatpantsJesus and @BN_Content for more props, bets, sports news and overall vibes!
I also host a show on Twitch every Thursday and Sunday morning on Twitch!
We will be live on Saturday at 11EST/10CST to go through this NFL slate with a special guest!
Come by and listen to me chop up the slate of games and hear what plays you are on and what you love!
Thanks for stopping by and as always, Peace and Love!
The post Touchdown Scorer Bets for Week 18: The Last Hoorah…for the Regular Season appeared first on Betting News.