Ova Charged Super Chalk: Fair Grounds Opening Day Analysis

By | November 16, 2022

Friday from Fair Grounds features the Big World, Donovan L. Ferguson Memorial, & Happy Ticket Stakes. Ova Charged was installed as the favorite in the feature.

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 1

Post: 3:00 PM CT; $17k Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 8

  • #6 POPULIST (8-5) gets the top selection. He has races good enough to beat this group. This one has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.
  • #4 IMPACT PLAYER (8-1) projects to sit mid pack and come with one run. This one has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
  • #3 FLASHY BREW (4-1) should be competitive in this spot. He could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
  • #2 BETTER WATCH OUT (20-1) makes sense on speed figures. This one has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.

Selections: 6 – 4 – 3 – 2

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 2

Post: 3:30 PM CT; $17k Claiming going 1 mile 70 yards on dirt; Entries: 6

  • #6 BELLAMY CAY (3-1) is the top pick. She has to be respected going out for the combination of Wilson and Rodriguez. This one shouldn’t have trouble with the 1 mile 70 yard distance.
  • #3 TOTAL MALICE (5-2) will likely be out on or near the lead and will look to hold off the charge to the wire. This one has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
  • #2 ROMANTIC BEAST (6-1) could be in with a shot in this race. She makes sense on speed figures. This one will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.
  • #1 IZEONPOINT (3-1) has the top overall power rating in the group.

Selections: 6 – 3 – 2 – 1

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 3

Post: 4:00 PM CT; $22k Starter Optional Claiming going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 8

  • #2 POST CLOSE (5-2) looks best here. He goes out for the Tracy barn and gets Gutierrez in the irons.
  • #8 EXCHEQUER (8-1) appears to be a major player in this race. He looks to be the class of the field.
  • #6 MAU MAU (6-1) has to be respected going out for the combination of Wilson and Rodriguez.
  • #3 ROCKDALE (9-2) gets Pedroza in the saddle for this one.

Selections: 2 – 8 – 6 – 3

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 4

Post: 4:30 PM CT; $75k Big World S. going 1 mile 70 yards on dirt; Entries: 8

  • #5 WINNING ROMANCE (2-1) gets the top selection. She looks to be the class of the field. This one has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
  • #6 SHE’S GONE D’WILD (6-1) makes sense on speed figures. This one goes out for the Calhoun barn and gets Gutierrez in the irons.
  • #1 FORT POLK (7-2) goes out for the Mouton barn and gets Nieves in the irons. This one seems to fit well enough here.
  • #8 CHEAPSKATE DIVA (3-1) has to be respected going out for the combination of Felks and Hernandez.

Selections: 5 – 6 – 1 – 8

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 5

Post: 5:00 PM CT; $50k Maiden Special Weight going 5 1/2 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 13

  • #4 GUITAR WOMAN (7-2) is the top pick. She looks to be the class of the field. This one will be rolling late and has a good closing kick that could get the job done here.
  • #1 MICHELLES LIL STAR (5-1) debuts here and should be competitive in this spot.
  • #10 NORAH G (8-1) debuts here for the West barn. Parker will take the mount here.
  • #3 HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY (12-1) has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.

Selections: 4 – 1 – 10- 3

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 6

Post: 5:32 PM CT; $75k Donovan L. Ferguson Memorial S. going 5 1/2 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 8

  • #7 FREE DROP MADDY (5-2) looks best here. She has races good enough to beat this group. This one has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
  • #3 JANET IS READY (9-5) appears to be a major player in this race. She has races good enough to beat this group. This one has the top overall power rating in the group.
  • #8 DON’TCALLMEPATSY (6-1) should improve off the first start and makes sense off of the first speed figure.
  • #2 CCED FOR STEPH (9-2) is another second time starter that showed promise in the first start.

Selections: 7 – 3 – 8 – 2

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 7

Post: 6:04 PM CT; $50k Maiden Special Weight going 5 1/2 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 10

  • #10 MYREDWHITEANDBLUE (5-1) should improve off the first start and gets the top selection. He has the pedigree to be a major player in this spot.
  • #2 MO MOVES (9-2) appears to be a major player in this race. He has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here. This one could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
  • #5 MOTIVATING (7-2) will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.
  • #7 NATURAL RED (12-1) is a price horse and feels like a fringe contender in this spot. He will likely have a lot to do in the lane, but could get up with a competitive run.

Selections: 10- 2 – 5 – 7

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 8

Post: 6:36 PM CT; $75k Happy Ticket S. going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 9

Ova Charged | Blood Horse
  • #4 OVA CHARGED (3-5) is the top pick. She has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
  • #9 MEDLEY (10-1) seems to provide decent value given her propensity for the 6 furlong distance.
  • #6 FAME FEATHER (12-1) seems to fit well enough here for the price. This one may benefit from a hot pace up front.
  • #3 SPIRITED BEAUTY (6-1) will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.

Selections: 4 – 9 – 6 – 3

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 9

Post: 7:08 PM CT; $22k Starter Optional Claiming going 5 1/2 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 6

  • #5 ZYDECO MUSIC (9-5) looks best here. She has really consistent pace figures which should work well in a moderately paced race. This one looks to be the class of the field.
  • #3 GALAXY THIRTYSIX (3-1) has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
  • #2 SERIOUSLY SASSY (20-1) is a price horse and comes into the race in really good form. This one should be part of the early pace in this spot.
  • #6 OURPERFECTPRINCESS (5-1) makes sense on speed figures. This one will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.

Selections: 5 – 3 – 2 – 6

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