Oaklawn Park Saturday: Southwest Stakes Full Card Analysis

By | January 26, 2023

The Saturday card from Oaklawn Park features the Southwest stakes. It is the final Kentucky Derby points race in January. The winner will get 20 points.

Oaklawn Park- Race 1

Post: 12:00 PM CT; $90k Maiden Special Weight going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 14

  • #2 DANCIN N THEPULPIT (15-1) looks like great value as she comes into the race in really good form.
  • #11 GOLD STRATEGY (5-1) appears to be a major player in this race. She looks to be the class of the field.
  • #6 BENNYKAYANDSUZYTOO (8-5) should improve off the first start and has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.
  • #13 MAGNOLIA MAE (12-1) is a price horse that may be worth a look underneath on vertical tickets.

Selections: 2 – 11- 6 – 13

Oaklawn Park- Race 2

Post: 12:30 PM CT; $106k Allowance Optional Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 8

  • #1 ONE FOR RICHIE (3-1) is the top pick. He has races good enough to beat this group. This one has to be respected going out for the combination of Contreras and Arrieta.
  • #8 MUCHO (8-1) appears to be a major player in this race. He has races good enough to beat this group.
  • #6 SILK TRADE (15-1) is a price horse and appears to be a major player in this race. This one looks to be the class of the field.
  • #2 KAVOD (5-2) goes out for the Hartman barn and gets Cabrera in the irons. This one could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.

Selections: 1 – 8 – 6 – 2

Oaklawn Park- Race 3

Post: 1:02 PM CT; $90k Maiden Special Weight going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 10

  • #1 ESCAPOLOGIST (9-2) looks best here. He seems to fit well enough here. This one has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
  • #5 INTERLOCK EMPIRE (6-1) should improve off the first start and appears to be a major player in this race. He makes sense on speed figures.
  • #3 TALLADEGA (5-2) is another runner with figures that fit in this spot.
  • #7 KING RUSSELL (3-1) appears to be a major player in this race. He goes out for the Moquett barn and gets Bejarano in the irons.

Selections: 1 – 5 – 3 – 7

Oaklawn Park- Race 4

Post: 1:36 PM CT; $104k Allowance going 1 mile on dirt; Entries: 9

  • #7 PRETTI XTREME (5-2) gets the top selection. She shouldn’t have trouble with the 1 mile distance.
  • #3 LET’S DUET (2-1) appears to be a major player in this race. She seems to fit well enough here. This one makes sense on speed figures.
  • #6 ENCHANTED NILE (4-1) has really consistent pace figures which should work well in a moderately paced race.
  • #8 I FEEL THE NEED (12-1) is a price horse and could be in with a shot in this race. She runs evenly and looks to get a very fair pace scenario here.

Selections: 7 – 3 – 6 – 8

Oaklawn Park- Race 5

Post: 2:10 PM CT; $200k Martha Washington S. going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 6

  • #3 DEFINING PURPOSE (6-5) is the top pick. She has races good enough to beat this group.
  • #4 TAKE CHARGE BRIANA (6-1) will likely have a lot to do in the lane, but could get up with a competitive run.
  • #5 OLIVIA TWIST (2-1) has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.
  • #2 KEY TO SUCCESS (20-1) is a price horse and is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. She makes sense on speed figures.

Selections: 3 – 4 – 5 – 2

Oaklawn Park- Race 6

Post: 2:42 PM CT; $104k Allowance going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 14

  • #4 ABSOLUTE CHAOS (4-1) looks best here. He seems to fit well enough here. This one makes sense on speed figures.
  • #13 BEAUTIFUL ART (6-1) shouldn’t have trouble with the 6 furlong distance.
  • #5 NINJA WARRIOR (7-2) should be competitive in this spot. He could get the right setup in this race.
  • #7 DON’T FORGET (10-1) is a price horse that seems like one who could outrun his odds.

Selections: 4 – 13- 5 – 7

Oaklawn Park- Race 7

Post: 3:15 PM CT; $90k Maiden Special Weight going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 12

  • #8 EASY ACTION (7-5) gets the top selection. He has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.
  • #4 COMMERCE COMET (3-1) should improve off the first start and makes sense on the debut speed figure.
  • #2 SIMOVIC (10-1) is a price horse and has been really solid in recent starts. He should be ready to run a big one here.
  • #7 STORMIN ARMY (12-1) could be involved in the early pace in this spot and may have a shot to hit the board.

Selections: 8 – 4 – 2 – 7

Oaklawn Park- Race 8

Post: 3:50 PM CT; $150k King Cotton S. going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 8

  • #7 GUNITE (7-5) is the top pick. He could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
  • #1 TEJANO TWIST (5-1) appears to be a major player in this race. He has to be respected going out for the combination of Hartman and Arrieta.
  • #3 FLASH OF MISCHIEF (9-5) has races good enough to beat this group.
  • #2 MILES AHEAD (6-1) projects to sit mid pack and come with one run.

Selections: 7 – 1 – 3 – 2

Oaklawn Park- Race 9

Post: 4:22 PM CT; $104k Allowance going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 12

  • #5 BARBER ROAD (3-1) looks best here. This one will likely have a lot to do in the lane, but could get up with a competitive run.
  • #7 CALL ME FAST (15-1) is a price horse and appears to be a major player in this race. This one could get the right setup in this race.
  • #11 BEN DIESEL (4-1) looks to be the class of the field. This one makes sense on speed figures.
  • #4 BEER CHASER (12-1) has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here. This one makes sense on speed figures.

Selections: 5 – 7 – 11- 4

Oaklawn Park- Race 10

Post: 4:57 PM CT; $750k Southwest S. going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 9

Arabian Knight | Blood Horse
  • #6 ARABIAN KNIGHT (1-1) should improve off the first start and gets the top selection. He will likely be out on or near the lead and will look to hold off the charge to the wire.
  • #2 CORONA BOLT (6-1) goes out for the Cox barn and gets Prat in the irons. This one will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.
  • #5 FROSTED DEPARTURE (15-1) will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.
  • #3 JACE’S ROAD (4-1) isn’t without hope. He seems to fit well enough here.

Selections: 6 – 2 – 5 – 3

Oaklawn Park- Race 11

Post: 5:26 PM CT; $90k Maiden Special Weight going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 14

  • #7 KOKOMO STARLET (3-1) should improve off the first start and is the top pick. She should have gained plenty from the debut.
  • #11 TIZ A STRATEGY (8-1) may benefit from a hot pace up front. This one hit the board on debut.
  • #13 INDIAN IRISH (15-1) is a price horse and feels like a fringe contender in this spot. She one comes into the race in really good form.
  • #2 LASSIE MY GIRL (8-5) should benefit from the fitness gained in the debut.

Selections: 7 – 11- 13- 2

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