Nevada vs San Diego State Basketball Prediction & Picks

By | January 10, 2023

The final game on tonight’s college basketball schedule is one of the night’s most interesting games, as #23 San Diego State (12-3, 3-0 Mountain West) hosts Nevada (14-3, 4-0 Mountain West) in a battle for first place.

This mouthwatering Mountain West matchup is set for an 11:00 pm ET (8:00 pm local time) tip, and you can catch all of the action on CBS Sports Network.

Nevada vs San Diego State Odds

Odds are via FanDuel as of Tuesday, January 10, 2023, at 5:10 pm ET. This article may also include odds from our other recommended legal sports betting sites.

Spread

  • Nevada +8.5 (-104)
  • San Diego State -8.5 (-118)

Over/Under

  • Over 138.5 (-110)
  • Under 138.5 (-110)

Moneyline

  • Nevada +315
  • San Diego State -410

Will SDSU See Off Nevada with Continued Offensive Success?

As is typically the case, San Diego State is one of the best defensive teams in the country, as they enter today 16th in defensive efficiency at KenPom.

But what is not typical is that offense is driving the Aztecs’ success this season as much as defense is.

Offensive Comparison for San Diego State (Last Season to This Season)

  • Last Season: 65.3 PPG, 43.3% FG, 35.8% 3PT, 69.5% FT, 167th in offensive efficiency at KenPom
  • This Season: 75.5 PPG, 45.9% FG, 36.7% 3PT, 72.9% FT, 45th in offensive efficiency at KenPom

On Saturday, San Diego State scored 80+ points for the sixth time this season in an 80-75 win at Wyoming. It was the second straight road game with 75+ points for the Aztecs, who won 76-67 at UNLV on New Year’s Eve.

This increased offensive production has come about as the result of amping things up a bit.

SDSU is 100th in tempo after ranking 268th last season and 50th in average offensive possession length after ranking 171st last season.

They and Nevada are the only two teams in the conference ranking in the top 70 at KenPom in both offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency, and Utah State (19th) is the only team in the conference ranking higher in offensive efficiency.

Nevada vs San Diego State Prediction and Picks

Nevada vs San Diego State Prediction: San Diego State to win

Nevada vs San Diego State Picks: San Diego State team total over 73.5 (Best Value: FanDuel & Caesars Sportsbook) & Nevada/San Diego State first half over 64.5 (Best Value: Caesars Sportsbook & BetMGM)

Nevada has had a very impressive start, and we’re about to find out a lot about this team’s potential to be an NCAA Tournament team, as their next five games are against SDSU, Utah State (home), Boise State (away), New Mexico (home), and UNLV (away).

I think they will emerge from that stretch with their NCAA Tournament hopes still in play, but they won’t be leaving San Diego with a win.

As good as San Diego State was before this season, tapping into their offensive potential has taken them to another level, and they are absolutely the team to beat in the conference until and unless someone shows otherwise.

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