Fair Grounds Saturday: Nelson J. Menard Horse Racing Analysis

By | January 11, 2023

The Saturday card from Fair Grounds Race Course features the Nelson J. Menard Memorial. Oeuvre was installed as the morning line favorite.

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 1

Post: 1:15 PM CT; $15k Maiden Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 8

  • #5 HONEYSUCKLEDELIGHT (6-5) gets the top selection. She has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here. This one could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
  • #2 ANSLIE’S GUMDROP (5-1) is a fringe contender. She has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.
  • #1 B B GUN BULLSEYE (9-2) seems to be running for the minor placings in this contest. This one will likely be sent from the inside and could be part of the early pace.
  • #4 EASY ACES (9-2) seems to be running for the minor placings in this contest. She has run against some quality horses.

Selections: 5 – 2 – 1 – 4

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 2

Post: 1:45 PM CT; $20k Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 5

  • #4 SWEET SLEW (3-1) is the top pick. She makes sense on speed figures. This one comes into the race in really good form.
  • #5 ELECTRIC SENSE (7-5) should be competitive in this spot. She looks to be the class of the field.
  • #3 ARKLAHOMA SOUL (7-2) makes sense on speed figures.
  • #1 COPPER MOON (8-1) is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. She shouldn’t have trouble with the 6 furlong distance. This one runs evenly and looks to get a very fair pace scenario here.

Selections: 4 – 5 – 3 – 1

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 3

Post: 2:15 PM CT; $18k Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 7

  • #3 REALITOS (9-2) looks best here. She shouldn’t have trouble with the 6 furlong distance. This one has the top overall power rating in the group.
  • #4 SUNSHINE STAR (3-1) appears to be a major player in this race. She makes sense on speed figures. This one could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
  • #5 RUBY BEGONIA (8-1) could be in with a shot in this race. She has competitive figures among this group and should be forward,
  • #6 SWEET VIDALIA (9-2) isn’t without hope. She has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.

Selections: 3 – 4 – 5 – 6

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 4

Post: 2:45 PM CT; $51k Allowance going 1 mile on dirt; Entries: 6

  • #3 Z RESURRECTION (2-1) gets the top selection. He has races good enough to beat this group. This one has the top overall power rating in the group.
  • #6 THE BOSS SOSS (3-1) isn’t without hope. He comes into the race in really good form. This one could get the right setup in this race.
  • #2 STIFF DRINK (6-1) seems to be running for the minor placings in this contest. He may benefit from a hot pace up front.
  • #4 MANGUM (7-2) may get the right pace scenario to be a factor in this spot.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 2 – 4

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 5

Post: 3:15 PM CT; $52k Allowance Optional Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 6

  • #3 READY FOR CHANGE (7-2) is the top pick. She has races good enough to beat this group. This one has really consistent pace figures which should work well in a moderately paced race.
  • #2 QUICK MUNNY (6-1) should be competitive in this spot. She seems to fit well enough here. This one runs evenly and looks to get a very fair pace scenario here.
  • #1 MISTY DAY (4-1) should be competitive in this spot. She has to be respected going out for the combination of Bourgeois and Gutierrez. This one has races good enough to beat this group.
  • #5 DONYA KNOW IT (3-1) feels like a fringe contender in this spot. She will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late. This one fits based on previous efforts.

Selections: 3 – 2 – 1 – 5

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 6

Post: 3:45 PM CT; $35k Maiden Special Weight going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 9

  • #8 BLAME DAY (3-1) looks best here. She shouldn’t have trouble with the 6 furlong distance.
  • #2 LADY DREAMER (5-1) feels like a fringe contender in this spot. She has to be respected going out for the combination of Briley and Hernandez.
  • #4 CHARRIERE (5-2) should improve off the first start and isn’t without hope. The debut was really productive. This one has the pedigree to be a major player in this spot.
  • #7 MARGOINABUBBLEBATH (7-2) seems to be running for the minor placings in this contest. She shouldn’t have trouble with the 6 furlong distance. This one has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.

Selections: 8 – 2 – 4 – 7

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 7

Post: 4:15 PM CT; $52k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 7

  • #4 NEPOTISM (6-1) gets the top selection. He has races good enough to beat this group. This one has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.
  • #5 BEAVER HAT (12-1) is a price horse and appears to be a major player in this race. He seems to fit well enough here.
  • #2 BIG BLUE LINE (7-2) should be competitive in this spot. He shouldn’t have trouble with the 1 1/16 mile distance.
  • #1A CAPTIVATING MOON (3-1) should be competitive in this spot. He makes sense on speed figures. This one may benefit from a hot pace up front.

Selections: 4 – 5 – 2 – 1A

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 8

Post: 4:45 PM CT; $100k Nelson J. Menard Memorial S. going about 5 1/2 furlongs on turf; Entries: 13

Oeuvre | Blood Horse
  • #10 CHARLIE’S PENNY (3-1) is the top pick. She has races good enough to beat this group.
  • #7 OEUVRE (2-1) appears vulnerable as the favorite here. She makes sense on speed figures. This one has the top overall power rating in the group.
  • #13 HAZY COMMAND (6-1) isn’t without hope. She shouldn’t have trouble with the about 5 1/2 furlong distance. This one has efforts that fit.
  • #4 VIOLENZA (7-2) isn’t without hope. This one runs evenly and looks to get a very fair pace scenario here.

Selections: 10- 7 – 13- 4

Fair Grounds Race Course- Race 9

Post: 5:15 PM CT; $50k Maiden Special Weight going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 10

  • #6 BOSS’ DIALIN IN (8-5) looks best here. He makes sense on speed figures. This one has the pedigree to be a major player in this spot.
  • #1 CLOUD WITHOUT REIN (9-2) should be competitive in this spot. He could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
  • #4 WAR ROOM (12-1) is a price horse and should be competitive in this spot. He shouldn’t have trouble with the 6 furlong distance. This one has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
  • #3 OVERANALYTICAL (6-1) projects to sit mid pack and come with one run. This one has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.

Selections: 6 – 1 – 4 – 3

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