Churchill Downs Saturday: Chilukki Stakes Analysis

By | November 17, 2021

Racing resumed on Wednesday at Churchill Downs. This weekend will be highlighted by the Grade 3 Chilukki Stakes which will be run at 1 mile on the dirt.

Churchill Downs Saturday Analysis

As of the writing of this piece no morning lines had been set. Players should always check the program to confirm the numbers in the program match the numbers in this article as coupled entries can at time cause changes to the horse’s program number.

Churchill Downs Race 1

Post: 1:00 PM ET; Purse: $37,000 Maiden Claiming, 1 1/16 Miles on Dirt; Entries: 7

#7 PINKABOO is in with a great chance based on the horse’s advantages in class & power rating. #5 SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT is also worth a look in this spot given edges in form & pace numbers. #1 SODDY DAISY has to be respected based on the connections. #3 MOON OVER TUSCANY has edges in both speed & stamina.

Selections: 7-5-1-3

Churchill Downs Race 2

Post: 1:30 PM ET; Purse: $75,000 Claiming, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 7

#6 SUBURBAN COURT is in with a great chance based on the horse’s advantages in speed & form. #2 SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY is another who could be a major factor given edges in connections & record at the distance. #3 KAVOD looks to have to have kept the best company in the previous starts. #4 SILENT POWER should be in the right spot early to give this horse a chance to get the job done.

Selections: 6-2-3-4

Churchill Downs Race 3

Post: 2:00 PM ET; Purse: $37,000 Maiden Claiming, 1 1/16 Miles on Dirt; Entries: 10

#5 BRAZIL NUT rates out on my numbers as the top overall horse in the race and is a definite player. #6 CACHIRULO is in with a great chance based on the horse’s advantages in speed & form. #7 MATH MAN is in with a great chance based on his class & pace numbers. #1A ELI is another interesting player if you get odds outside of 5-1

Selections: 5-6-7-1A

Churchill Downs Race 4

Post: 2:30 PM ET; Purse: $58,000 Waiver Maiden Claiming, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 8

#7 MONEY MIKE is in with a great chance based on the horse’s advantages in speed & power rating. #1 LAVENDER EARL should also contend based on speed & form. #8 HURRY ON OUT is proven as a good bet to at least hit the board under today’s distance and surface conditions. #2 HOLIDAY TICKET has a shot in this spot given the top connections & pace numbers.

Selections: 7-1-8-2

Churchill Downs Race 5

Post: 3:03 PM ET; Purse: $148,000 Allowance Optional Claiming, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 6

#3 DONTLETSWEETFOOLYA is worthy of consideration in this spot given edges in stamina & power rating. #6 AIN’T NO ELMERS has a great shot in the race given the advantages in speed & class. #1 PALACE AVENGER goes out for top connections & has competitive pace numbers. #4 LI’L TOOTSIE is a major player based on speed figures that are competitive with this group.

Selections: 3-6-1-4

Churchill Downs Race 6

Post: 3:36 PM ET; Purse: $50,000 Maiden Claiming, 6 1/2 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 16

#6 COST A FORTUNE is a major player in today’s race edging the field in several key handicapping factors including speed & form. #1 PURRFECT MISTRESS has to be respected based on the connections. #14 ALLOCATE is interesting at a price, but if this one gets bet down my interest wanes given the outside post. #2 BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE hasn’t done anything wrong of late and could be sitting on a big race.

Selections: 6-1-14-2

Churchill Downs Race 7

Post: 4:06 PM ET; Purse: $120,000 Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/16 Miles on Dirt; Entries: 8

#5 LA CRETE gets my top selection in this spot given the top connections & breeding that should be well served in this race. #6 LEGERITY merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & record at the distance. #4 OPENING NIGHT is another in the mix in this spot given the fact this one could get a perfect race flow. #8 MY SWEETNESS comes into the race signaling a big performance in the near future.

Selections: 5-6-4-8

Churchill Downs Race 8

Post: 4:36 PM ET; Purse: $134,000 Allowance Optional Claiming, 6 1/2 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 7

#4 CENTER AISLE has a great shot in the race given the advantages in speed & pace numbers. #7 MISS MOSAIC looks to have to have kept the best company in the previous starts. #2 SLAM DUNK has to be respected based on the connections. #6 FARSIGHTED is proven as a good bet to at least hit the board under today’s distance and surface conditions.

Selections: 4-7-2-6 (Best Bet #4)

Churchill Downs Race 9

Post: 5:06 PM ET; Purse: $127,000 Allowance, 6 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 10

#7 TULANE TRYST looks strong here given edges in class & record at the distance. #2 PIRATE RICK is another top player based on the pace numbers & power rating. #8 PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE has to be respected based on the connections. #1 COOL QUEST will likely be heard from somewhere in the money based on speed figures & form.

Selections: 7-2-8-1

Churchill Downs Race 10

Post: 5:36 PM ET; Purse: $300,000 Chilukki S., 1 Mile on Dirt; Entries: 8

Race 10 is the featured event. #4 MISS BIGLY has a great shot in the race given the the current form & class this one has shown. #8 PRINCESS CAUSEWAY will be a favorite among speed players based on both speed & pace figures. #7 OBLIGATORY has run some big races and this spot seems like it could be a touch easier. #3 MATERA has to be respected based on the connections.

Selections: 4-8-7-3

Churchill Downs Race 11

Post: 6:06 PM ET; Purse: $120,000 Maiden Special Weight, 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 9

#2 FABULOUS FANNY is a major player in today’s race edging the field in several key handicapping factors including speed & form. #9 LISCOLVIN should be given serious consideration in this spot given edges in race flow & power rating. #3 AL QAHIRA and #7 DAME JOVIALE are both interesting depending on what the price is at post time.

Selections: 2-9-3-7

Betting News Free Data

Whether it is bringing further clarity to Saturday’s card or building bankroll on Thursday and Friday, Betting News provides free handicapping information for several tracks each and every day. Churchill Downs data and selections are available at horses.bettingnews.com free of charge each and every race day.

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