Churchill Downs Saturday Analysis: Chiluki Stakes Favors Coach

By | November 18, 2022

The Saturday card from Churchill Downs features the Chilukki. Coach was installed as a slight morning line favorite in the featured race.

Churchill Downs- Race 1

Post: 1:00 PM ET; $37k Maiden Claiming going 6 1/2 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 14

  • #4 SOUTHERN SENSE (4-1) gets the top selection. He has races good enough to beat this group. This one has the pedigree to be a major player in this spot.
  • #1 SCOTCH NO ROCKS (6-1) has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
  • #3 THE BIG MOZZ (5-1) has hit the board at this level before.
  • #7 LOOT THE MOON (9-2) is another runner with experience at the condition.

Selections: 4 – 1 – 3 – 7

Churchill Downs- Race 2

Post: 1:30 PM ET; $50k Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 6

  • #3 STEELY DANZA (2-1) is the top pick. He has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip. This one has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts.
  • #6 LANSDOWNE (10-1) is a price horse and appears to be a major player in this race. He shouldn’t have trouble with the 6 furlong distance.
  • #1 MIDASWELLRUN (3-1) should be competitive in this spot. He projects to sit mid pack and come with one run. This one has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.
  • #2 HOLIDAY HOUSE (7-2) feels like a fringe contender in this spot. He looks to be the class of the field.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 1 – 2

Churchill Downs- Race 3

Post: 2:00 PM ET; $50k Maiden Claiming going 7 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 10

  • #9 YACHT ROCK (7-2) looks best here. He has the pedigree to be a major player in this spot. This one has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
  • #2 SUITABLE (3-1) has races good enough to beat this group. This one has the bloodlines to like this spot.
  • #7 LED TASSO (4-1) has to be respected going out for the combination of Asmussen and Gaffalione.
  • #8 DUPLANTIS (4-1) projects to sit mid pack and come with one run.

Selections: 9 – 2 – 7 – 8

Churchill Downs- Race 4

Post: 2:30 PM ET; $72k Starter Allowance going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 7

  • #2 FRIGID LADY (5-2) gets the top selection. She has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
  • #6 GIRL AFRAID (7-2) should be competitive in this spot. She looks to be the class of the field.
  • #1 SAENZ (3-1) comes into the race in really good form.
  • #3 MOON MAGIC CHRISSY (6-1) could be in with a shot in this race. She has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.

Selections: 2 – 6 – 1 – 3

Churchill Downs- Race 5

Post: 3:01 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 9

  • #9 WOODLINE (5-2) is the top pick. He has experience that means shouldn’t have trouble with the 6 furlong distance.
  • #5 CAPE TRAFALGAR (2-1) appears to be a major player in this race. He has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
  • #1 TOWN BRANCH (8-1) should be competitive in this spot. He runs evenly and looks to get a very fair pace scenario here.
  • #3 YODASON (10-1) is a price horse and is probably best to put underneath on most tickets. He goes out for the Devaux barn and gets Hernandez in the irons.

Selections: 9 – 5 – 1 – 3

Churchill Downs- Race 6

Post: 3:31 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 6 1/2 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 11

  1. #1 EASY ACTION (2-1) should improve off the first start and looks best here. He looked really good on debut. This one goes out for the Casse barn and gets Santana in the irons.
  2. #3 REAGAN (3-1) goes out for a second try and could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
  3. #11 LARK’S MISCHIEF (8-1) debuts here and isn’t without hope. He has to be respected going out for the combination of Asmussen and Gaffalione.
  4. #2 SHAKE UP (12-1) comes into the race in really good form.

Selections: 1 – 3 – 11- 2

Churchill Downs- Race 7

Post: 4:01 PM ET; $52k Claiming going 1 mile on dirt; Entries: 13

  • #11 BLUE KENTUCKY (5-2) gets the top selection. He has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.
  • #6 ARTHURIAN (12-1) is a price horse and appears to be a major player in this race. He has races good enough to beat this group.
  • #12 PRIMER DIMER (8-1) goes out for the Robertino Diodoro barn who cleans up these claiming races.
  • #3 EXPLOSIVE (7-2) looks to be the class of the field. This one makes sense on speed figures.

Selections: 11- 6 – 12- 3

Churchill Downs- Race 8

Post: 4:33 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 6 1/2 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 11

  • #7 COMMUNICATION MEMO (5-2) is the top pick. He has races good enough to beat this group.
  • #5 CARCANO (3-1) should be competitive in this spot. He makes sense on speed figures.
  • #8 SURFACE TO AIR (12-1) is a price horse and has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
  • #1 COLLIER’S TIME (8-1) should improve off the first start and could get the job done with a little improvement.

Selections: 7 – 5 – 8 – 1

Churchill Downs- Race 9

Post: 5:05 PM ET; $134k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 1/16 miles on turf; Entries: 18

  • #14 WICKED GROOVE (3-1) looks best here. She has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here.
  • #4 JUSTIFY MY LOVE (5-1) could get the right setup in this race.
  • #8 BARISTA (4-1) should be competitive in this spot. She comes into the race in really good form.
  • #6 CALDEE (5-1) should be competitive in this spot for the Cox barn and gets Geroux in the irons.

Selections: 14- 4 – 8 – 6

Churchill Downs- Race 10

Post: 5:35 PM ET; $300k Chilukki S. going 1 mile on dirt; Entries: 7

Coach | Blood Horse
  • #1 COACH (9-5) gets the top selection. She will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.
  • #3 CENTER AISLE (6-1) comes into the race in really good form.
  • #6 SHE CAN’T SING (5-2) has to be respected going out for the combination of Block and Hernandez.
  • #2 MARIAH’S PRINCESS (3-1) runs evenly and looks to get a very fair pace scenario here.

Selections: 1 – 3 – 6 – 2

Churchill Downs- Race 11

Post: 6:05 PM ET; $127k Allowance going 1 1/4 miles on dirt; Entries: 9

  • #8 WAR CAMPAIGN (5-2) is the top pick. He has really consistent pace figures which should work well in a moderately paced race.
  • #9 GATE RUNNER (4-1) shouldn’t have trouble with the 1 1/4 mile distance.
  • #3 STRONG QUALITY (3-1) looks to be the class of the field.
  • #5 TEN GAUGE (5-1) runs evenly and looks to get a very fair pace scenario here.

Selections: 8 – 9 – 3 – 5

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