Churchill Downs: Rich Strike Returns, Clark Stakes Analysis

By | November 23, 2022

The Friday card from Churchill Downs features the Mrs. Revere and the Clark Stakes. Rich Strike was installed as the morning line favorite in the Friday feature.

Churchill Downs- Race 1

Post: 1:00 PM ET; $78k Claiming going 1 mile on dirt; Entries: 6

  • #3 GIROLAMO’S ATTACK (7-2) gets the top selection. He has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.
  • #5 SPA CITY (2-1) could be in with a shot in this race. He makes sense on speed figures. This one comes into the race in really good form.
  • #2 TWO BY TWO (5-2) has proven to be able to handle these conditions in previous starts. This one looks to be the class of the field.
  • #1 WHISKEY DOUBLE (4-1) goes out for the Maker barn and gets Corrales in the irons.

Selections: 3 – 5 – 2 – 1

Churchill Downs- Race 2

Post: 1:30 PM ET; $141k Allowance Optional Claiming going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 5

  • #2 WILL’S SECRET (2-1) is the top pick. She shouldn’t have trouble with the 1 1/16 mile distance.
  • #3 GRAYSONSMACHO GAL (5-2) appears to be a major player in this race. She goes out for the Ortiz barn and gets Gutierrez in the irons.
  • #1 JUNGLE JUICE (5-1) feels like a fringe contender in this spot. She should be part of the early pace in this spot.
  • #5 CANDY RAID (7-2) goes out for the Desormeaux barn and gets Lanerie in the irons.

Selections: 2 – 3 – 1 – 5

Churchill Downs- Race 3

Post: 1:59 PM ET; $42k Maiden Claiming going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 8

  • #3 EIGHT STRAIGHT (5-2) looks best here. He has races good enough to beat this group. This one shouldn’t have trouble with the 1 1/16 mile distance.
  • #8 LED TASSO (5-1) has races good enough to beat this group. This one should be sitting in the second tier of runners and looking to make one well timed run at the leaders.
  • #6 PRINCE OF ROSES (3-1) should be part of the early pace in this spot.
  • #1 IRONSIDES (15-1) is a price horse and makes sense on speed figures. This one seems to fit well enough here.

Selections: 3 – 8 – 6 – 1

Churchill Downs- Race 4

Post: 2:28 PM ET; $54k Claiming going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 8

  • #1 SHIP IT (5-2) gets the top selection. She should be sitting in the second tier of runners and looking to make one well timed run at the leaders. This one has the top overall power rating in the group.
  • #2 GIMME CANDY (9-2) goes out for the Amoss barn and gets Morales in the irons.
  • #5 WICKED WONDER (6-1) isn’t without hope. She projects to sit mid pack and come with one run.
  • #3 LANTERN’S CANDY (3-1) makes sense on speed figures.

Selections: 1 – 2 – 5 – 3

Churchill Downs- Race 5

Post: 2:58 PM ET; $54k Claiming going 1 1/16 miles on dirt; Entries: 10

  • #4 DEEP STATE (3-1) is the top pick. He has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip. This one has the top overall power rating in the group.
  • #3 MR CREED (9-2) seems to fit well enough here.
  • #5 LORD CAPTAIN (10-1) is a price horse and should be sitting in the second tier of runners and looking to make one well timed run at the leaders.
  • #1 BEYBLADER (12-1) has races good enough to beat this group at a very fair price.

Selections: 4 – 3 – 5 – 1

Churchill Downs- Race 6

Post: 3:27 PM ET; $58k Maiden Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 10

  • #3 LADY STRUM (5-1) debuts here and has to be respected going out for the combination of Asmussen and Gaffalione.
  • #9 LILY’S CREED (4-1) projects to sit mid pack and come with one run.
  • #5 SHE’S JERSEY TUFF (12-1) has solid early pace figures in a race that looks to lack a ton of front running speed.
  • #8 SLOAN STREET (12-1) is a price horse and feels like a fringe contender in this spot. Not a likely winner though.

Selections: 3 – 9 – 5 – 8

Churchill Downs- Race 7

Post: 3:57 PM ET; $54k Starter Allowance going 7 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 10

  • #4 HOMETOWN HERO (3-1) gets the top selection. He looks to be the class of the field.
  • #8 MR. THUNDERSTRUCK (8-1) could be in with a shot in this race. He runs evenly and looks to get a very fair pace scenario here.
  • #6 TRIGGER HAPPY (15-1) is a price horse and should be part of the early pace in this spot.
  • #3 NINETIES COUNTRY (4-1) goes out for the Estvanko barn and gets Corrales in the irons.

Selections: 4 – 8 – 6 – 3

Churchill Downs- Race 8

Post: 4:27 PM ET; $68k Claiming going 6 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 10

  • #8 STRONG SILENT (3-1) is the top pick. She has the top overall power rating in the group.
  • #2 HONEY RUN (5-2) makes sense on speed figures.
  • #5 SAINT EROS GIRL (8-1) will likely be in the first flight of runners and should be in with a chance late.
  • #1 SUE ELLEN MISHKIN (9-2) makes sense on speed figures.

Selections: 8 – 2 – 5 – 1

Churchill Downs- Race 9

Post: 4:57 PM ET; $300k Mrs. Revere S. going 1 1/16 miles on turf; Entries: 11

  • #6 CALIFORNIA ANGEL (2-1) looks best here. This one may benefit from a hot pace up front.
  • #3 LADY PUCHI (8-1) has races good enough to beat this group.
  • #7 LOVELY PRINCESS (8-1) makes sense on speed figures. This one looks to be the class of the field.
  • #2 SHE’S GONE (10-1) has been really solid in recent starts and should be ready to run a big one here. This one could get the right setup in this race.

Selections: 6 – 3 – 7 – 2

Churchill Downs- Race 10

Post: 5:27 PM ET; $127k Allowance going 7 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 16

  • #1 GULFSTREAM WAY (7-2) gets the top selection. He has to be respected going out for the combination of Cox and Geroux.
  • #8 CALL ME FAST (3-1) ashouldn’t have trouble with the 7 furlong distance.
  • #10 MILLIKEN (6-1) looks to be the class of the field.
  • #16 CLASSIC MOMENT (3-1) goes out for the combination of Asmussen and Gaffalione.

Selections: 1 – 8 – 10- 16

Churchill Downs- Race 11

Post: 5:56 PM ET; $750k Clark S. presented by Norton Healthcare going 1 1/8 miles on dirt; Entries: 7

Rich Strike wins the Kentucky Derby at 80-1
  • #7 WEST WILL POWER (5-2) is the top pick. He has races good enough to beat this group.
  • #1 PROXY (7-2) should be sitting in the second tier of runners and looking to make one well timed run at the leaders.
  • #4 RICH STRIKE (2-1) may be the most talented, but making up ground hasn’t been easy in Kentucky.
  • #6 LAST SAMURAI (10-1) has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip.

Selections: 7 – 1 – 4 – 6

Churchill Downs- Race 12

Post: 6:24 PM ET; $120k Maiden Special Weight going 7 1/2 furlongs on dirt; Entries: 9

  • #7 SHADY ROAD (8-5) looks best here. She projects to sit mid pack and come with one run. This one shouldn’t have trouble with the 7 1/2 furlong distance.
  • #4 TWENTYTWENTY HOAX (5-1) could be a dangerous threat to get loose on the front end.
  • #9 AWESOME ALLY VEE (8-1) feels like a fringe contender in this spot. She looks to be the class of the field.
  • #2 STAR TABLE (6-1) should be sitting in the second tier of runners and looking to make one well timed run at the leaders.

Selections: 7 – 4 – 9 – 2

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