Browns vs. Dolphins Week 10 Betting: Miami’s Aerial Attack Too Much for Cleveland

By | November 9, 2022

As the temperature begins to drop, we’ve finally reached Week 10 of the 2022 NFL season. There’s a bit of something for everyone this week, including a showdown between the Cleveland Browns and Miami Dolphins.

The Browns are feeling well-rested after last week’s bye, looking to pick up from where they left off. The last time we saw Cleveland was in Week 8 when Kevin Stefanski’s team earned a huge 32-13 victory over the rival Cincinnati Bengals.

The road team will have its hands full with the surging Dolphins, who’ve won three straight games. Their latest victory was a 35-32 win against the Chicago Bears, led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa eclipsing 300 passing yards while tossing out a trio of touchdown passes.

Betting News has gathered the latest Browns vs Dolphins odds from FanDuel Sportsbook to help shed some light on the situation, along with a prediction and best bets for the NFL Week 10 game.

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins Week 10 Matchup Information and Betting Odds

Matchup Information

  • Matchup: Cleveland Browns (3-5, 1-2, Away) vs. Miami Dolphins (6-3, 3-1 Home)
  • Venue & Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Florida)
  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 13 2022
  • Game Time: 1 p.m. Eastern Time
  • Browns vs Dolphins Info: CBS, NFL+

Browns vs Dolphins Early Odds

Game odds are via FanDuel as of Wednesday, Nov. 9 at 9:04 a.m. ET. Odds from other top online sportsbooks may also be mentioned in this article.

Spread

  • Cleveland Browns +3.5 (-110)
  • Miami Dolphins -3.5 (-110)

Over/Under

  • Over 48.5 Points (-115)
  • Under 48.5 Points (-105)

Moneyline

  • Cleveland Browns +162
  • Miami Dolphins -194

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

  • Cleveland is 1-6 straight up in its last seven road games.
  • Miami is 9-1 straight up in its last 10 home games.
  • Cleveland is 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games in November.
  • Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last seven Week 10 matchups.
  • The total has hit the over in four of Cleveland’s last six games against the AFC.
  • The total has hit the under in each of Miami’s four home games this season.

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins Prediction and Picks

Browns vs Dolphins Prediction: Dolphins 30, Browns 23

Browns vs Dolphins Picks: Dolphins -3.5 (Best Value: -110 at FanDuel) & Over 48.5 Points (Best Value: -115 at FanDuel)

The Dolphins look to stay red-hot this weekend when they host the Browns. Fortunately, Hard Rock Stadium has treated the home team well this season as Miami’s gone 3-1 in its own stadium so far.

In fact, the Dolphins have been victorious in nine of their last 10 home games. The only loss over that stretch was to the Minnesota Vikings back in Week 6. Considering how the Vikings are one of the better teams this season and that the Dolphins didn’t even have Tua Tagovailoa in that game, Miami’s recent play at home is all the more impressive.

Meanwhile, the Browns have struggled in away games lately, going 1-6 in their last seven road outings. Offense has been tough to come by in those games as Cleveland averaged just 19.6 PPG, surpassing the 20-point mark just twice.

Though the Browns’ victory against the Bengals was impressive, the Dolphins present another challenge. The latter is 6-0 in games that Tagovailoa completes this season, averaging 27.5 PPG — an improvement over their overall 23.7 PPG clip.

Is Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa too much for the Browns to handle?

Another aspect to follow in this Browns vs Dolphins matchup is the pass-catching duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Hill has been playing out of his mind lately, recording 38 catches for 580 receiving yards with a touchdown over his last four games, racking up at least 143 yards in three of those contests.

Meanwhile, Waddle has also made some noise during that time, posting a 23-408-3 stat line. Both Dolphins wideouts should have relatively productive days against an average Browns pass defense that’s given up 300-plus passing yards twice this season.

Speaking of defense, it’ll be interesting to see if Miami can handle Cleveland’s ground attack. Though the Dolphins allow the fourth-fewest rushing yards at home this season, they’ve allowed an average of 143.0 over their last three games, which includes surrounding 252 to the Bears last week.

Considering how the Browns average the third-most rushing yards in the NFL, it could be a long way for the Dolphins’ defense. Players like Raekwon Davis, Bradley Chubb and Christian Wilkins must do what they can to slow down Cleveland’s run attack.

Nevertheless, I have the Dolphins winning this game. After all, Miami is 13-2 straight up in Tagovailoa’s last 15 games with neither of those losses taking place at Hard Rock Stadium. As solid as the Browns have looked at times this year, they’re too inconsistent on the road to trust.

Having said that, I’m taking the Dolphins to cover the 3.5-point spread. Four of their six victories this season have come by four-plus points and I just don’t see the Browns keeping pace now that Miami is firing on all cylinders.

I’m also taking over 48.5 points on the total. The Browns have seen the over in five of their eight games this season, while the Dolphins have been involved in some shootouts over the last two weeks, averaging a 62.5-point total during that span.

With both sides being susceptible to giving up 30-plus points this season, I see another high-scoring affair in the cards.

Other NFL Week 10 Stories on Betting News

  • Cowboys vs. Packers Week 10 Betting: Green Bay’s Slump Continues Against Dallas
  • Seahawks vs. Bucs Week 10 Betting: Can Tampa Bay Find Success in Munich?
  • Vikings vs. Bills Betting: Can Buffalo win if Allen is limited on Sunday?
  • Broncos vs Titans Prediction: Trust the Titans to Buck the Broncos (NFL Week 10)

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