Brewers vs. Padres (May 24): Back Burnes & the Brew Crew in San Diego

By | May 24, 2022

Two former Cy Young Award winners will be on the mound tonight in San Diego, as 2018 AL Cy Young winner Blake Snell and the San Diego Padres take on 2021 NL Cy Young winner Corbin Burnes and the Milwaukee Brewers.

After taking home the hardware this past season, Burnes has held steady as one of the leading favorites for this year’s award, despite a lack of success in the win column. Through eight starts, Burnes has only one win, but with +350 odds to repeat as NL Cy Young winner, oddsmakers still love his chances at this early point of the MLB season.

Snell made the move from the AL to the NL last season, and prior to seeing his season end a few weeks early due to injury, he was showing reminders of the Snell that went 21-5 with a 1.89 ERA in 2018 with the Tampa Bay Rays.

But he has had a delayed start to this season due to injury, and this will be only his second 2022 start after making his season debut this past Wednesday against the Philadelphia Phillies.

We expect a pitchers’ duel in tonight’s Marlins vs. Rays game, but will there be one in San Diego as well?

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Betting Odds and Matchup Information

Matchup Information

  • Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers (26-16, 12-10 road, 1st in the NL Central) vs. San Diego Padres (28-14, 11-7 home, 2nd in the NL West)
  • Venue & Location: Petco Park (San Diego, California)
  • Date: Tuesday, May 24, 2022
  • Time: 9:40 p.m. Eastern Time (6:40 p.m. local time)
  • How to Watch Today’s Brewers vs. Padres Game: TBS

Brewers vs. Padres Pitching Matchup

  • Milwaukee Brewers: Corbin Burnes (2022: 8 starts, 1-2, 2.26 ERA)
  • San Diego Padres: Blake Snell (2022: 1 start, 0-1, 7.36 ERA)

Brewers vs. Padres Odds

Odds are via FanDuel. Odds from our other top reviewed and recommended sportsbooks may also be included in this article.

Moneyline

  • Milwaukee Brewers -134
  • San Diego Padres +114

Over/Under

  • OVER 7 (+104)
  • UNDER 7 (-128)

Run Line

  • Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+136)
  • San Diego Padres +1.5 (-164)

Will Burnes Finally Get a Win on the Road?

In last year’s breakout, Cy Young-winning season, Burnes was at his best on the road.

At home, he was 4-4 with a 2.85 ERA in 15 starts, while he was 7-1 with a 1.94 ERA in 13 road starts. In his home starts, his K/BB ratio was 5.39 (124 K/23 BB), while it was 10.0–no, not a typo–on the road (110 K/11 BB). And his opponent batting average was .179 on the road, compared to .220 in his home starts.

The stellar road numbers have carried over to this season. In four starts, he has a 1.80 ERA. But he has yet to get into the win column away from Milwaukee, registering an 0-1 record.

The Brewers have won two and lost two in his road starts and are 4-4 in his eight starts overall, but just like last year when poor run support cost him a number of wins, a lack of run support is why he has just one win to date this season.

Will that change tonight in San Diego? The odds are not high, but it may well not matter if a few notable trends line up in his favor. The Brewers have a higher winning percentage as a road favorite (10-5, .667) than they do as a home favorite (13-8, .619).

And since the start of last season, the Brewers are 8-2 in Burnes’s starts following a start in which he allowed three or more runs. In his previous start, Burnes allowed four runs and seven hits in six innings against the Atlanta Braves this past Wednesday, but he was absolved of a potential loss as the Brewers won in 11 innings.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Prediction and Best Bets

Brewers vs. Padres Prediction: Brewers to win

Brewe`2rs vs. Padres Best Bets: Brewers ML (-134) & UNDER 7 (-128) – both at FanDuel

Last night’s series opener was a 3-2, 10-inning win for the Padres, and runs should be at a premium again in tonight’s matchup.

Burnes’s outing against the Braves was only his second this season that featured more than seven combined total runs. Since the start of last season, there have been only two instances in which that happened in consecutive Burnes starts.

Snell’s delayed season debut in Philadelphia wasn’t great–he allowed three runs, three hits, and three walks in 3.2 innings against the Phillies–but in his last four home starts last season, he recorded a 2.03 ERA, which was almost a full run less than his ERA in his first eight starts at Petco Park.

When the Padres have been an underdog this season, the under is 10-6-0, including a 4-1-0 mark when they have been an underdog at Petco Park. With two talented arms on the hill, look for those under trends to continue tonight.

Other MLB Content on Betting News Today (Tuesday, May 24)

  • Marlins vs. Rays Prediction & Best Bets for 5/24

The post Brewers vs. Padres (May 24): Back Burnes & the Brew Crew in San Diego appeared first on Betting News.

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