Belmont Park Saturday (7/2) Life is Good Returns, Dwyer Analysis

By | July 1, 2022

The Dwyer and the Nerud Stakes are both graded stakes events. Both are set to run Saturday at Belmont Park. The Nerud will see the return of Life is Good.

Full Card Analysis

Belmont Park Race 1

Post: 1:00 PM ET; Purse: $90,000 Maiden Special Weight, 5 1/2 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 8

  • #5 FLY HIGH (5-2) is my best guess in this field of unraced horses. I like the connections and the confidence of the morning line on this runner.
  • #1A MARIA FROM MIAMI (3-1) has a workout pattern to suggest this one could be ready to pop on debut.
  • #6 RANSOM STYLE (9-5) is another well respected firster for top connections.
  • #1 APPLE PICKER (3-1) is the less fancied part of the entry.

Selections: 5-1A-6-1

Belmont Park Race 2

Post: 1:32 PM ET; Purse: $60,000 Starter Allowance, 1 1/16 Miles on Turf; Entries: 9

  • #9 MAYBE LATER (4-1) is in with a great chance based on the horse’s class & race flow.
  • #2 TWIRLING PATTI (9-5) should be competitive today based on the horse’s speed & power rating.
  • #6 BASILIA (5-2) should be in the right spot early to give this horse a chance to get the job done.
  • #8 MISS DELICIOUS (6-1) will likely have the stamina to outlast these in the final jumps of the race.

Selections: 9-2-6-8

Belmont Park Race 3

Post: 2:03 PM ET; Purse: $37,000 Maiden Claiming, 1 Mile on Dirt; Entries: 7

  • #7 LUCKY BRODY (3-5) barring a horrible turn of racing luck, this one looks like about as much of a lock as they come.
  • #5 EL VEINTICUATRO (8-1) has to be respected based on the connections.
  • #2 TUESDAY’S CHILD (4-1) is a logical player in this field, but would have to do a lot to get by the #7. At this level anything can happen.
  • #3 LUCKY MUCHO MAN (5-1) is another who isn’t without consideration.

Selections: 7-5-2-3

Belmont Park Race 4

Post: 2:34 PM ET; Purse: $250,000 John A. Nerud S., 7 Furlongs on Dirt; Entries: 5

Life is Good wins Kelso at Belmont Park
Life is Good | Photo Credit True Nicks
  • #1 LIFE IS GOOD (1-2) looks formidable here given the edge in a number of key categories including top connections & class.
  • #5 SPEAKER’S CORNER (6-5) wasn’t good enough to compete with Flightline and now will take a quick turnaround and another shot at California’s most brilliant. Hard to see this one getting by the #1 but definitely the next likeliest winner.
  • #2 REPO ROCKS (12-1) may be worth a bit of a stab. This one has been running ultra consistent in recent starts.
  • #4 WAR TOCSIN (30-1) is worth a shot at a huge price. There won’t be a ton of money at stake with the #1 on almost all tickets so you have to find a runner like this somewhere.

Selections: 1-5-2-4

Belmont Park Race 5

Post: 3:03 PM ET; Purse: $90,000 Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/16 Miles on Turf; Entries: 8

  • #6 SOSUA SUMMER (4-1) should be competitive today based on the horse’s speed & race flow.
  • #1 MAKING IT (9-5) has to be respected today edging the field in several key handicapping factors including stamina & pedigree.
  • #8 EMBOITE (9-2) is proven as a good bet to at least hit the board under today’s distance and surface conditions.
  • #5 CAPENSIS (3-1) is well fancied on debut so this one is worth a look.

Selections: 6-1-8-5

Belmont Park Race 6

Post: 3:34 PM ET; Purse: $60,000 Starter Allowance, 1 1/16 Miles on Dirt; Entries: 6

  • #5 DANGEROUS EDGE (9-2) has a great shot in the race given the form & class.
  • #1 BOLD VICTORY (5-2) should be competitive today based on the horse’s speed & class.
  • #3 BLAKE B. (6-1) should be involved in the early pace and may be able to take them around the whole way.
  • #6 AIR SHOW (7-2) appears to have the best ability to pass horses late. If there is a hot pace this one makes sense.

Selections: 5-1-3-6

Belmont Park Race 7

Post: 4:05 PM ET; Purse: $80,000 Allowance, 7 Furlongs on Turf; Entries: 9

  • #1 HAPPY HILL LIL (8-1) is in with a great chance based on the horse’s class & power rating.
  • #3 AUTUMN GLORY (2-1) is a major player based on speed figures.
  • #2 SHE’S A MIA (3-1) has to be respected based on the connections.
  • #7 LOVE’S MISERY (12-1) will likely have the stamina to outlast these in the final jumps of the race.

Selections: 1-3-2-7

Belmont Park Race 8

Post: 4:38 PM ET; Purse: $250,000 Dwyer S., 1 Mile on Dirt; Entries: 6

  • #1 CHARGE IT (4-5) has a great shot in the race given the speed & class.
  • #6 NABOKOV (2-1) has to be respected based on the connections.
  • #3 FLUID SITUATION (5-1) is a major player based on speed figures.
  • #2 NO SABE NADA (20-1) is worth a look here given edges in record at the distance & form.

Selections: 1-6-3-2

Belmont Park Race 9

Post: 5:09 PM ET; Purse: $92,000 Allowance, 6 Furlongs on Turf; Entries: 16

  • #7 SHE’S THE ONE (5-2) should be competitive based on the overall power rating which has it tops in the group.
  • #13 CHASING CARA (3-1) merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & form.
  • #3 ANADOR (6-1) merits consideration in this spot given edges in speed & race flow.
  • #10 O’GOTTEN GIRL (5-1) should be in the right spot early to give this horse a chance to get the job done.

Selections: 7-13-3-10

Belmont Park Race 10

Post: 5:40 PM ET; Purse: $92,000 Allowance, 1 Mile on Turf; Entries: 15

  • #2 KLICKITAT (12-1) is an upset possibility with edges in record at the distance & race flow.
  • #13 THERISASTORMBREWIN (8-1) merits consideration in this spot given edges in stamina & class.
  • #1 LISTENTOYOURHEART (8-1) is worth a look here given edges in record at the distance & pace.
  • #14 NO BURN (7-2) comes into the race signaling a big performance in the near future.

Selections: 2-13-1-14

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