If you are a believer in momentum, the Philadelphia Phillies would seemingly have all of it after a resounding shutout win over the Houston Astros last night in Game 3 of the World Series.
Thanks to five home runs by five different hitters and outstanding work by starting pitcher Ranger Suarez and the bullpen, the Phillies strolled to a 7-0 win and a 2-1 series lead last night at Citizens Bank Park.
With a win tonight, the Phillies would have a chance to clinch a World Series title tomorrow night in front of their home fans.
But there is plenty of baseball potentially left, and just like they bounced back after a gut punch of a Game 1 loss, Houston is certainly capable of a big response tonight to ensure that the series will return to Minute Maid Park for at least a Game 6.
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies Matchup Information and Betting Odds – 2022 World Series Game 4
- Matchup: Houston Astros (1-2) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (2-1)
- Venue & Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)
- Date: Wednesday, November 2, 2022
- Game Time: 8:03 p.m. Eastern Time
- How to Watch Astros vs. Phillies Game 4: FOX
Astros vs. Phillies Pitching Matchup
- Houston: LHP Cristian Javier (2022 MLB Postseason: 2 appearances – 1 start, 1-0, 1.35 ERA; 30 appearances – 25 starts, 10-9, 2.54 ERA)
- Philadelphia: RHP Aaron Nola (2022 MLB Postseason: 4 starts, 2-1, 4.57 ERA; 32 starts, 11-13, 3.25 ERA in the regular season)
Astros vs. Phillies Odds
Game odds are via FanDuel as of Wednesday, November 2 at 2:00 p.m. Eastern.
- Houston Astros -102
- Philadelphia Phillies -116
- Over 7.5 (+102)
- Under 7.5 (-124)
- Houston Astros -1.5 (+158)
- Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-192)
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction and Best Bets
Astros vs. Phillies Prediction: Astros to win
Astros vs. Phillies Best Bets: Astros ML (Best Value: -102 at FanDuel) & Astros -1.5 (Best Value: +160 at BetRivers)
Will Aaron Nola get back on track tonight after a rough outing against the Padres in the NLCS and another one against Houston in Game 1 at Minute Maid Park?
Both of those outings were on the road, but at home, he has a 0.30 ERA over his last five starts going back to the regular season, with just one earned run allowed in 29.2 innings.
Javier hasn’t needed to be used as often as Nola has in the postseason, but he needs to deliver a big performance tonight to help Houston even things up. He was excellent in Game 3 of the ALCS against the Yankees, allowing one hit and three walks and striking out five in 5.1 shutout innings to get the win.
The Phillies are better against LHP than RHP, so this is a favorable matchup for them in that regard.
That said, Javier has some excellent recent numbers as well. He hasn’t allowed a single run in his last five starts going back to the regular season, and in 28.1 innings across those five starts, he has allowed just seven hits and nine walks.
I wasn’t overly worried about Houston even after the Game 1 loss, and I’m still not particularly concerned after last night’s loss either. They have been fantastic in this spot all season long, and I’m backing that to continue tonight with a series-tying victory.
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