After evening up the 2022 World Series in convincing fashion on Saturday night, the Houston Astros are once again favored to win the Fall Classic as it shifts to Philadelphia for the next three games.
After an off day, the series will resume on Monday night, with Lance McCullers Jr. and Noah Syndergaard the mound matchup for Game 3 at Citizens Bank Park.
The Astros let a 5-0 lead slip in Game 1, but they didn’t have the same issue in Game 2. They jumped out on top with three first-inning runs, then added two more on Alex Bregman’s two-run homer in the fifth inning.
But unlike Friday night, when Justin Verlander gave five runs right back to the Phillies, Framber Valdez allowed only one run in 6.1 innings, and the bullpen finished things off from there for a series-tying 5-2 win.
Game 3 in a best-of-seven series is always a pivotal one when the series is tied up, especially in a 2-3-2 format.
If the home team takes the series lead, they’ll have the home fans behind them for the next two games.
But if the road team takes the 2-1 lead, they will have the comfort of knowing that the series will, at the very least, return to their home stadium for a Game 6 and won’t have to see Game 4 as much of a must-win game as it would be if they were down 2-1.
Who will take a valuable advantage tomorrow night? The Astros are favored to for the win, but the Phillies are a perfect 5-0 at home thus far in the MLB playoffs.
Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies Matchup Information and Betting Odds – 2022 World Series Game 3
- Matchup: Houston Astros (1-1) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (1-1)
- Venue & Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)
- Date: Monday, October 31, 2022
- Game Time: 8:03 p.m. Eastern Time
- How to Watch Astros vs. Phillies Game 3: FOX
Astros vs. Phillies Pitching Matchup
- Houston: RHP Lance McCullers Jr. (2022 MLB Postseason: 2 starts, 0-0, 2.45 ERA; 8 starts, 4-2, 2.27 ERA in the regular season)
- Philadelphia: LHP Noah Syndergaard (2022 MLB Postseason: 3 appearances – 1 start, 0-0, 1.69 ERA; 25 appearances – 24 starts, 10-10, 3.94 ERA in the regular season)
Astros vs. Phillies Odds
Game odds are via FanDuel as of Sunday, October 30 at 4:20 p.m. Eastern.
- Houston Astros -134
- Philadelphia Phillies +114
- Over 8 (-102)
- Under 8 (-120)
- Houston Astros -1.5 (+125)
- Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-150)
Astros vs. Phillies Prediction and Best Bets
Astros vs. Phillies Prediction: Astros to win
Astros vs. Phillies Best Bets: Astros ML (Best Value: -130 at BetMGM) & Astros -1.5 (Best Value: +132 at BetRivers)
Syndergaard started the NLDS clincher against the Atlanta Braves, allowing one hit–a solo home run–and striking out three in three innings, and he has pitched a total of 5.1 innings and thrown a total of 68 pitches in his three postseason appearances.
Does that matter? Maybe, maybe not, but after getting just five innings from 4.1 innings from Aaron Nola in Game 1 and just five innings from Zack Wheeler in Game 2, the Phillies could benefit from Syndergaard going longer than what he has done overall in the postseason thus far.
McCullers didn’t have his best stuff in Game 4 of the ALCS against the Yankees after having his championship series start delayed due to a freak champagne celebration accident, but after having his chance to pitch in last year’s World Series taken from him due to injury, I think he’ll be up for this one.
There’s only so much that can be said about the matchups here, both because of the setting and because both teams are much better against LHP than RHP. But if there is an edge for the Phillies, it’s the fact that they hit much better at home than the Astros do on the road.
All that said, after watching and betting on a lot of baseball this season, I happen to think that the Astros are a much better team and far better equipped, both in terms of talent and experience, to take care of business at this point of the year, and if I wasn’t off the train after Game 1, I’m certainly not off of it now.
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