2022 MLB Season Playoff Odds & Format: Who Will Get In?

By | April 8, 2022

In the pandemic-shortened 2020 MLB season, the league experimented with an expanded playoff format that featured 16 teams, seeding, and a best-of-three Wild Card Series round before the Division Series round.

It produced a number of exciting games and some surprise results. In the NL, the sixth-seeded Miami Marlins upset the Chicago Cubs, the third seed, to reach the NLDS. In the AL, the Houston Astros, also a #6 seed, pushed the top-seeded Tampa Bay Rays to seven games in the ALCS, becoming only the second-ever team to force a Game 7 in an MLB playoff series after trailing 3-0 in the series.

The league decided not to make an expanded playoff format a permanent thing last season, but they couldn’t continue to resist calls for it.

MLB Introduces New 12-Team Playoff Format for 2022 Season

While we won’t see a 16-team format this season, we will see a new 12-team format for the 2022 MLB playoffs.

In each league, the division winners with the best record will be the top two seeds and receive a bye through to the Divisional Series round.

The division winner with the third-best record will be the #3 seed, while the three wild-card teams will be the teams with the fourth, fifth, and sixth-best records in the league, regardless of division finish. As was the case with the Wild Card Series round in 2020, that round will feature best-of-three series, with #3 facing #6 and #4 facing #5.

Had this format been in place for the 2021 season, all three AL wild-card teams would have been from the AL East. With the Toronto Blue Jays, New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays, and Boston Red Sox all among the top six of the 2022 MLB playoff odds, that outcome could very well happen this season.

Here are those odds, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

Odds to Make the MLB Playoffs in 2022

Odds are as of April 8, 2022.

  • Los Angeles Dodgers -1200
  • Houston Astros -480
  • Chicago White Sox -470
  • New York Yankees -390
  • Atlanta Braves -390
  • Toronto Blue Jays -390
  • Milwaukee Brewers -320
  • San Diego Padres -270
  • New York Mets -230
  • Tampa Bay Rays -230
  • San Francisco Giants -145
  • Philadelphia Phillies -145
  • Boston Red Sox -125
  • St. Louis Cardinals -115
  • Los Angeles Angels +125
  • Minnesota Twins +160
  • Seattle Mariners +165
  • Miami Marlins +195
  • Detroit Tigers +350
  • Cleveland Guardians +380
  • Chicago Cubs +500
  • Texas Rangers +500
  • Cincinnati Reds +550
  • Kansas City Royals +600
  • Oakland A’s +700
  • Washington Nationals +900
  • Colorado Rockies +1500
  • Arizona Diamondbacks +1900
  • Pittsburgh Pirates +2500
  • Baltimore Orioles +2600

2022 MLB Playoff Predictions (as of April 8, 2022)

American League

  • 1. Tampa Bay Rays (AL East winner)
  • 2. Chicago White Sox (AL Central winner)
  • 3. Houston Astros (AL West winner)
  • 4. Toronto Blue Jays
  • 5. Boston Red Sox
  • 6. Seattle Mariners

American League Playoff Outlook

Why the Mariners and Red Sox over the Yankees? The Yankees have some of the biggest bats in the business in Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Joey Gallo, Anthony Rizzo, and new addition Josh Donaldson. They also have one of the biggest arms in the game in Gerrit Cole, who is favored to win the AL Cy Young Award and be the MLB strikeout leader.

But they also enter the season with some big rotation questions behind Cole.

Luis Severino is back, but cautious optimism is far as you can take it with someone who has pitched all of 18 innings over the past three MLB seasons. Jordan Montgomery and Jameson Taillon both had their moments last season but need to be more consistent this season. Nestor Cortes has a lot of potential and posted a 2.90 ERA in 22 appearances, but the others need to perform to minimize the need for him to be in top form every time out.

The Mariners don’t have comparable bats, but the additions of Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez will go a long way, especially if Suarez can revert to something resembling his pre-2020 form. Even at his worst, he can still hit 25+ homers.

More importantly, the Mariners made a major addition to their stable of arms, singing reigning AL Cy Young winner Robbie Ray in free agency.

And as nice as it would be to see AL MVP favorites Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani in the MLB postseason, the Angels can’t be trusted yet. Pitching is still a question mark until it isn’t, and a big question mark, at that.

National League

  • 1. Los Angeles Dodgers (NL West winner)
  • 2. Milwaukee Brewers (NL Central winner)
  • 3. Atlanta Braves (NL East winner)
  • 4. San Francisco Giants
  • 5. San Diego Padres
  • 6. New York Mets

National League Playoff Outlook

These are the six likeliest playoff teams from the NL, according to the above odds. So, there are no surprises here.

Jacob deGrom’s health will be a major factor for the Mets, as it was last season, but with the additions of Max Scherzer and Chris Bassitt, they should be able to survive and even thrive even if the two-time NL Cy Young winner is out longer than hoped.

The Padres went into the 2021 MLB season with sky-high expectations, but things collapsed rather epically, resulting in the firing of manager Jayce Tingler.

After bringing in the inexperienced Tingler, the franchise went the other direction with his replacement, hiring experienced skipper Bob Melvin away from the Oakland A’s.

Melvin has led three different teams (the A’s, Arizona Diamondbacks, and Seattle Mariners) to 90-win seasons in his career, and he led the A’s to three AL West titles and six postseason appearances in 11 seasons.

The Padres will have to navigate at least the first couple of months of the season without Fernando Tatis Jr., but if they have the talent–and the managerial acumen now–to put last season behind them and reach the postseason.

But what about the Phillies? They added some serious support for Bryce Harper by signing Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber, and they should put up some runs. Their rotation also stacks up well with any in the league, on paper.

But there are too many questions. Will the other bats in the lineup do enough to support the stars? Will Aaron Nola bounce back after posting a 4.63 ERA last season? Was Kyle Gibson just a half-season wonder with the Texas Rangers last season? Most importantly, will their bullpen be better?

The post 2022 MLB Season Playoff Odds & Format: Who Will Get In? first appeared on Betting News.

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