2022 3M Open Odds & Picks: Can favorite Finau pick up his first win in 2022?

By | July 19, 2022

After a thrilling British Open at St. Andrews, many of the PGA Tour’s top golfers are taking a week off instead of teeing it up at the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota.

But that doesn’t mean that you should give the event a miss as well. A number of well-known names are in the 3M Open field, led by Tony Finau, Hideki Matsuyama, and Sungjae Im.

With only this tournament, the Rocket Mortgage Classic and the Wyndham Championship remaining before the FedEx Cup Playoffs get underway with the FedEx St. Jude Championship in Memphis (August 11-14), this week could be big for a number of players.

The 500 points for the win or 300 points for second could have a big say in how much golf there could be on offer next month for the likes of Finau, Adam Hadwin, and others.

Tournament Information

  • Course & Location: TPC Twin Cities (Blaine, Minnesota)
  • Par: 71
  • Course Length: 7,431 yards
  • Defending Champion: Cameron Champ

Finau, who comes into this week 30th in the FedEx Cup points standings, sits atop the odds as the favorite to win the tournament, edging out Matsuyama and Im.

The 32-year-old American is still in search of his first win of 2022 and his third career PGA Tour win, and he makes the trip to Minnesota after finishing tied for 28th at St. Andrews last week.

That represents the best finish of this week’s three favorites, as Matsuyama finished tied for 68th and Im finished tied for 81st.

Here’s a look at the odds.

Odds to Win the 2022 3M Open

Odds are via FanDuel.

  • Tony Finau +1300
  • Hideki Matsuyama +1600
  • Sungjae Im +1800
  • Adam Hadwin +2000
  • Sahith Theegala +2000
  • Maverick McNealy +2000
  • Davis Riley +2200
  • Cameron Davis +2200
  • Cameron Tringale +2700
  • Joohyung Kim +2900
  • Adam Svensson +3300
  • Christopher Gotterup +3300
  • Brendan Steele +3400
  • J.T. Poston +3400
  • Chez Reavie +3400
  • Adam Long +3400
  • Martin Laird +3400
  • Nick Hardy +3700
  • Wyndham Clark +4100
  • Jason Day +4200
  • Brendon Todd +4200
  • Emiliano Grillo +4200
  • Cameron Champ +4500
  • Ryan Palmer +4500
  • Rickie Fowler +4800
  • Troy Merritt +5000

2022 3M Open Predictions and Picks

Who will win the tournament?

Cameron Champ (+4500 to win the tournament)

Given the form that Champ has been in, this might seem like a bold pick. He has missed the cut at five consecutive tournaments, and the 69 that he shot in the first round of the John Deere Classic a couple of weeks is his only round in the 60s in that period.

But when he went to this tournament last year, he had been in equally horrible form before finishing tied for 11th at the John Deere Classic.

Returning to the scene of his most recent PGA Tour victory could be just what he needs to rediscover his form. His run of missed cuts is unfortunate, but his odds would be shorter were he in better form.

At this price, there is no real risk in backing him, and if he happens to not contend, you can have action elsewhere without sweating a loss too much.

3M Open Betting Picks

Best Bet of the Week: Adam Hadwin to finish in the top 10 (+240)

Hadwin’s only PGA Tour win came over five years ago, when he won the 2017 Valspar Championship by a stroke over Patrick Cantlay.

That win gave him one more than Cantlay, who had yet to win on the PGA Tour. Since then, Cantlay has won eight times and is currently ranked fourth in the world.

Hadwin, meanwhile, is still in search of his second PGA Tour win, but I like his chances to at least be in contention this week. In two previous appearances at the 3M Open, Hadwin has finished fourth (2019) and tied for sixth (2021).

Given his previous results at this tournament, +240 to finish in the top ten and +550 to finish in the top five both present the kind of value that shouldn’t be passed up.

The 34-year-old missed the cut last time out at the John Deere Classic, but he has five top-ten finishes this season.

And a high finish this week will boost Hadwin’s chances of potentially being able to play in all three FedEx Cup playoff events. He enters this week 53rd in the points standings, 222 points behind Finau.

Cameron Champ to finish in the top 40 (-110)

Just making the cut this week would be a step in the right direction for Champ. But this is pretty unbelievable value for the defending champion to manage a decent finish.

As noted above, I think he will do much more than just manage a decent finish. And along with his odds to win the tournament, he is +900 to finish in the top five, +490 to finish in the top ten, and +220 to finish in the top 20 (all at FanDuel).

But this is a very, very safe option that doesn’t require him to be in contention or to even play spectacularly well.

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